The current crypto bull market has investors and analysts alike watching price charts, historical trends, and market cycles more closely than ever. Among the most respected voices in the space, pseudonymous strategist Rekt Capital has drawn attention with a data-driven forecast suggesting a clear window for when this rally could peak—and eventually cool down.
Based on historical Bitcoin (BTC) patterns, Rekt Capital predicts the next bull market peak may occur between mid-September and mid-October 2025, approximately 518 to 546 days after the upcoming Bitcoin halving event. This timeline aligns with past market cycles, offering a compelling roadmap for traders and long-term holders.
Bitcoin’s Pre-Halving Rally: What History Tells Us
Bitcoin is currently in what analysts refer to as the "pre-halving rally" phase—a period characterized by steady upward momentum in price as market participants anticipate reduced supply due to the halving. Historically, BTC tends to experience strong gains in the months leading up to the halving, which is expected around April 20, 2025.
However, Rekt Capital warns that this upward trend often comes with a caveat: a sharp retracement just before the actual halving event. Miners’ block rewards are cut in half during this event, which can trigger short-term volatility and profit-taking.
“Bitcoin is firmly in its pre-halving rally phase. But the pre-halving retrace phase is getting closer with each passing day.”
This pullback doesn’t necessarily signal the end of the bull run—it’s often a temporary correction before the next leg up. In previous cycles, such dips were followed by explosive post-halving rallies, typically peaking 12 to 18 months later.
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When Could the Bull Market Peak?
Rekt Capital’s analysis hinges on comparing the current cycle to prior Bitcoin bull runs—particularly those following previous halvings in 2012, 2016, and 2020. Each of these cycles saw peak prices reached roughly 17 to 18 months after the halving.
Applying this pattern to the upcoming April 2025 halving suggests a potential top in late Q3 or early Q4 of 2025.
“If history repeats, next bull market peak may occur 518–546 days after the halving. That’s mid-September or mid-October 2025.”
While no model is foolproof, this projection offers a useful benchmark for investors managing portfolio allocations, setting profit targets, or preparing for potential volatility.
Market psychology also plays a role: as more participants anticipate a peak around this timeframe, it could become a self-fulfilling prophecy if large-scale selling emerges simultaneously.
Memecoins Set for Another Surge?
Beyond Bitcoin, Rekt Capital sees strong momentum building for memecoins—a category that includes fan-favorite assets like Shiba Inu (SHIB), Dogecoin (DOGE), Floki (FLOKI), and BONK.
Despite trading over 57% below its all-time high of $0.00008616 reached in October 2021, SHIB shows signs of forming a U-shaped reversal pattern. According to Rekt Capital, the asset is likely to retest its previous highs—but first needs to complete an accumulation phase.
“It’s only a matter of time before SHIB revisits its old all-time highs to complete its U-shaped reversal. The only thing that’s a question mark is where price will form its re-accumulation range.”
The analyst outlines two possible accumulation zones:
- Blue-black range: $0.000033285 – $0.000047348
- Orange-orange range: $0.0000221371 – $0.000026041
Which zone holds could determine the strength and duration of the next upward move.
Rekt Capital emphasizes that memecoins are not just speculative noise—they’re deeply embedded in market psychology and often act as early indicators of broader risk appetite in the crypto ecosystem.
“FLOKI, DOGE, SHIB, BONK are always going to rally hard in bull markets. Market psychology will never change. Memecoins are always going to play an integral role in any money flow cycle.”
Their low entry price, viral nature, and strong community backing make them magnets for retail investors during periods of high optimism.
👉 See how memecoin trends are shaping investor behavior in real time.
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These terms reflect high-intent search queries from users looking to time their investments, understand historical trends, or anticipate major market movements.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
When is the next Bitcoin halving expected?
The next Bitcoin halving is projected to occur around April 20, 2025. This event reduces the block reward for miners from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC per block, historically tightening supply and influencing long-term price trends.
What causes crypto bull markets to end?
Bull markets typically end due to a combination of factors including macroeconomic shifts, regulatory changes, overheated valuations, profit-taking after prolonged rallies, and reduced liquidity. Historically, many bull runs peaked 17–18 months after a halving, followed by extended correction phases.
Will Shiba Inu reach new all-time highs?
According to Rekt Capital, yes—but not immediately. SHIB is expected to undergo an accumulation phase before breaking past its previous high of $0.00008616. The formation of a U-shaped reversal pattern supports this outlook, though timing depends on broader market conditions.
Are memecoins a good investment during bull markets?
Memecoins like DOGE, SHIB, FLOKI, and BONK tend to outperform during bullish cycles due to strong retail participation and speculative momentum. However, they carry higher risk due to volatility and lack of fundamentals. They’re best approached as part of a diversified strategy with clear risk management.
How reliable are historical patterns in predicting crypto trends?
While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, Bitcoin’s four-year cycle—tied closely to the halving—is one of the most consistent patterns observed in crypto markets. Analysts use it as a framework, but always account for evolving variables like institutional adoption, regulation, and global macro trends.
Can I trust analyst predictions like Rekt Capital’s?
Rekt Capital has built a reputation for technical accuracy and data-backed insights over several market cycles. While no analyst is infallible, their track record lends credibility. Always combine external analysis with personal research and risk assessment before making investment decisions.
👉 Access real-time data and tools to validate market forecasts on your own.
Final Thoughts: Navigating the Road to 2025
As the crypto market advances toward the 2025 halving and potential bull market peak, strategic planning becomes essential. Whether you're focused on Bitcoin’s macro cycle or watching for memecoin breakouts, understanding historical patterns provides valuable context.
Rekt Capital’s timeline—pointing to a peak between September and October 2025—offers a plausible scenario based on years of observed behavior. While surprises are inevitable in this fast-moving space, being informed gives investors a significant edge.
The key takeaway? Stay alert during the pre-halving retracement, watch accumulation zones for assets like SHIB, and prepare for heightened volatility as we approach the projected peak window.
By combining technical analysis with sound risk management, investors can navigate this exciting phase with greater confidence—and potentially capitalize on one of crypto’s most anticipated cycles yet.