Options Market Still Tilts Bullish Despite Bitcoin’s Dip Below $100K

·

The cryptocurrency derivatives market continues to signal underlying optimism, even as Bitcoin temporarily slipped below the symbolic $100,000 threshold. According to recent data from Coinglass, open interest in Bitcoin (BTC) options has settled around **$51 billion, reflecting robust market engagement. In comparison, Ethereum (ETH) options open interest stands at approximately $17 billion**, underscoring Bitcoin's dominant position in the current sentiment landscape—particularly amid rising geopolitical uncertainty.

Open interest, a key metric in derivatives trading, represents the total value of outstanding options contracts not yet settled. It serves as a vital indicator of market participation and long-term positioning. Unlike trading volume, which captures short-term activity, open interest reveals where traders are placing their longer-term bets.

Bitcoin and Ethereum Options: A Tale of Two Sentiments

On Deribit, the leading crypto options exchange, call options—bets that prices will rise—continue to dominate open interest for both major cryptocurrencies. For Bitcoin, about 59.73% of open contracts are calls, compared to 40.27% puts (bearish bets). This tilt suggests that despite short-term volatility, the broader market still anticipates a recovery and potential upside in the medium to long term.

Ethereum shows an even stronger bullish bias in open interest, with 67.39% of contracts being calls versus just 32.61% puts. This pronounced call dominance indicates that traders expect ETH to rebound or continue its upward trajectory over time, despite near-term caution.

👉 Discover how market sentiment shapes smart investment strategies in volatile crypto markets.

However, when examining 24-hour trading volume, the picture becomes more nuanced. For Bitcoin, put volume slightly edges out calls: 24,780 BTC in put options traded versus 24,168 BTC in calls. This suggests that in the immediate term, some traders are hedging against further downside or actively speculating on price declines.

In contrast, Ethereum’s trading volume reveals a modest bullish tilt, with 53.06% of volume favoring call options. This divergence between open interest and volume highlights a critical insight: while long-term positioning remains optimistic, short-term traders are more cautious, adjusting for potential pullbacks.

Key Expiration Dates and Price Targets

Market activity is heavily concentrated around specific expiration dates, offering a window into trader expectations.

For Bitcoin, the most actively traded contract is a bet that the price will drop by June 27, with over 2,000 BTC committed to this position. This trade is tied to expectations that BTC could fall to $95,000 or lower** by that date. At the same time, another popular contract wagers that Bitcoin will rise to **$105,000 by July 11, indicating a split between short-term caution and longer-term bullishness.

Similarly, Ethereum traders are focusing on downside protection ahead of the same June 27 expiry. The most traded options are those speculating ETH could fall to $2,100**, **$2,200, or even as low as $2,000. These levels suggest traders are preparing for potential short-term weakness, possibly driven by macroeconomic factors or profit-taking after previous rallies.

Despite this increased demand for downside protection—especially in near-term expiries—the overall structure of open interest reveals a resilient bullish bias. The heavier weighting of call options implies that many market participants view any dip as a buying opportunity rather than a sign of structural weakness.

Why Open Interest Matters More Than Volume

While trading volume captures the noise of daily speculation, open interest reflects commitment. A growing open interest in call options signals that traders are not just making short-lived bets but are building positions they expect to hold for weeks or months.

This distinction is crucial for understanding market psychology. The current data suggests a dual mindset among crypto traders:

👉 Explore real-time derivatives data to stay ahead of market shifts and emerging trends.

Geopolitical Risk and Bitcoin’s Safe-Haven Narrative

Amid escalating geopolitical tensions—from Middle East conflicts to global trade uncertainties—Bitcoin is increasingly being viewed through the lens of a digital safe haven. While traditionally seen as a speculative asset, its fixed supply and decentralized nature are drawing comparisons to gold in times of fiscal stress.

This narrative may partly explain why Bitcoin’s options market remains structurally bullish despite price dips. Investors are using call options not only for leverage but also as a hedge against currency devaluation and systemic financial risks.

Ethereum’s Role in the Broader Crypto Ecosystem

While Ethereum lags behind Bitcoin in options open interest, its higher call-to-put ratio suggests strong conviction in its long-term value proposition. Upcoming network upgrades, growth in Layer-2 solutions, and increasing demand for decentralized applications (dApps) continue to fuel optimism.

Moreover, the potential approval of spot Ethereum ETFs in the U.S. remains a powerful catalyst on the horizon. Even though regulatory clarity is still evolving, the mere possibility is enough to drive call accumulation among forward-looking traders.

FAQ: Understanding Crypto Options Market Trends

Q: What does open interest tell us about market sentiment?
A: Open interest measures the total number of outstanding options contracts. Rising open interest in call options typically signals growing bullish sentiment, while increasing put open interest may indicate bearish expectations.

Q: Why are traders buying puts if the market is bullish?
A: Buying puts can serve as downside protection rather than pure bearishness. Many long-term bulls use puts to hedge their positions against short-term volatility without changing their overall positive outlook.

Q: How do expiration dates influence trading behavior?
A: Traders often concentrate activity around key expiry dates (like June 27 or July 11), which can lead to increased volatility as contracts approach settlement. These dates become focal points for directional bets.

Q: Is Bitcoin losing its dominance to Ethereum?
A: No—Bitcoin maintains clear dominance in derivatives markets by open interest volume. However, Ethereum shows stronger relative bullishness in call concentration, reflecting confidence in its ecosystem growth.

Q: Can options data predict future price movements?
A: While not foolproof, options data provides valuable insights into trader positioning and sentiment. Extreme imbalances in call/put ratios can sometimes precede reversals or confirm trends.

👉 Gain access to advanced analytics tools that turn market data into actionable insights.

Final Thoughts: Volatility Is Temporary—Conviction Endures

The current dynamics in the crypto options market reflect a mature and strategic trading environment. Rather than reacting emotionally to price swings below $100K, sophisticated participants are using derivatives to manage risk while maintaining exposure to future upside.

Bitcoin’s dip has not shaken long-term confidence. Instead, it has triggered tactical adjustments—hedging near-term risks while keeping bullish positions open for the second half of 2025. Ethereum mirrors this pattern, with even stronger call dominance suggesting deep faith in its technological roadmap.

As macro conditions evolve and regulatory clarity improves, these derivatives signals will remain essential tools for gauging true market sentiment beneath the surface noise.

Keywords: Bitcoin options, Ethereum options, open interest, crypto derivatives, call options, put options, market sentiment