In the volatile world of cryptocurrency trading, where fortunes are made and lost in minutes, one 95后 (post-95 generation) trader known as "If I Don't Understand" has emerged as a symbol of disciplined strategy and emotional resilience. From losing millions in a single market crash to generating over $10 million in profit within nine months, his journey offers a compelling blueprint for aspiring traders navigating the chaotic yet rewarding landscape of digital assets.
This article dives deep into his transformation—from an Amazon seller to a top-ranked futures trader on OKX—unpacking the mindset, strategies, and systems that powered his ascent in the crypto arena.
From E-Commerce to Crypto: A Journey Begins
Born in 1996, "If I Don't Understand" started not on trading desks but in the competitive world of cross-border e-commerce. Running an Amazon store gave him early exposure to global markets and risk management. But it was the explosive rise of SHIB and Axie Infinity (AXS) in 2020 that opened his eyes to the potential of blockchain.
Unlike many who dive in impulsively, he approached crypto with the rigor of an entrepreneur. By day, he managed his online business; by night—from 7 PM to 2 AM—he immersed himself in researching blockchain projects, studying tokenomics, and analyzing community dynamics.
His first real win came with a modest $1,000 investment in AXS, which multiplied several times over. Encouraged, he reinvested $3,000–$5,000 into emerging GameFi projects like **Radio Caca**, **BinaryX**, and **Farmers World**. Through meticulous research and hands-on gameplay, he turned this small capital into his first **RMB 1 million (≈$140K)**—a milestone that validated his analytical approach.
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The Crash That Changed Everything
Success brought confidence—but also complacency. In May 2022, as Ethereum plummeted from $3,700 to under $800, he doubled down on long positions, betting on a rebound. The result? A 95% drawdown. Millions vanished almost overnight.
That loss became his greatest teacher.
“Real effort in the real world is what fuels Web3 success.”
Rather than quitting, he returned to entrepreneurship, rebuilt his capital through stable income streams, and re-entered crypto with a new philosophy: only trade with surplus funds, never with debt. This principle became foundational—because financial pressure distorts judgment.
He learned to respect the market’s unpredictability. No more guessing tops or bottoms. Instead, he focused on trades backed by logic, structure, and risk control.
The $10M Breakthrough: Riding Meme Coin Momentum
His comeback began with BRC-20 tokens, where he capitalized on short-term liquidity surges before exiting swiftly. Then came the meme coin wave—his most profitable chapter.
At the height of skepticism around neiro, while others shorted, he went long. Why?
“I use benchmark projects. BONK and BOME reached $1B+ FDV after listing. Neiro had strong IP and community vibes—it deserved similar valuation.”
His conviction paid off. As neiro surged toward a $1 billion FDV**, his spot position alone reportedly earned **$5 million. He followed up by shorting overhyped projects like PNUT and TRUMP after they showed signs of irrational exuberance—no pullbacks, all pump.
Public data shows his futures profits exceeded $10 million in nine months**, including a single ETH trade that netted **$7.5 million in June.
Trading Philosophy: Profiting From Consensus, Not Code
"If I Don't Understand" doesn’t chase whitepapers or technical breakthroughs. His edge lies in understanding market psychology and consensus formation.
“A token rises not because of its tech—but because people believe it’s valuable.”
He sees himself as a consensus hunter, tracking where attention, money, and narrative converge. Three macro trends shaped his wins:
- GameFi (2021): DeFi wrapped in gaming mechanics. He studied economic models deeply—turning early bets into life-changing gains.
- BRC-20 (2023): A short-cycle “liquidity pump.” He recognized its Ponzi-like nature—miners got fees but had no incentive to support price—and cashed out after 10x returns.
- Meme Coins (2023–2025): Fueled by Solana’s ecosystem and platforms like Pump.fun. He rode FOMO waves by comparing new memecoins to established benchmarks.
For shorting, he looks for parabolic moves without correction—a sign of unsustainable hype. When PNUT and TRUMP rocketed post-listing with no meaningful dip, he saw ideal setups for low-leverage shorts.
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A 4-Step System for Aspiring Traders
Despite his success, he insists: “My path can’t be copied—but my method can.” Here’s his practical framework:
1. Learn Autonomously
Blockchain moves too fast for formal education. He advocates self-directed learning—through trial, error, and direct experience.
Two info-filtering techniques:
- KOL Tracking: Follow early signalers—those who spot trends before mainstream adoption.
- Community Deep Dives: Engage in Discord and Telegram groups. Real communities have authentic discussions; fake ones are flooded with bots.
2. Time Entries and Exits Precisely
“Buy when no one cares. Sell when everyone’s talking.”
- Entry Signal: Active team, clear roadmap, product progress—but low public awareness.
- Exit Signal: Media buzz peaks, FOMO spreads, FDV matches or exceeds peers.
- Bonus Indicator: Monitor macro signals like Circle’s stock (USDC issuer) for broader market sentiment clues.
3. Protect Capital Above All
His golden rule:
“Preserve 30–50% of your capital at all times—it’s your comeback fund.”
His tiered risk strategy:
- Small Accounts (<$50K): Can take higher risks (e.g., meme coins), but diversify across tokens and limit holdings to <1% of total supply.
- Large Accounts: Keep per-trade exposure under $100K to avoid slippage and front-running by market makers.
Position Sizing: Use the “Quarter-Lot” method:
- First 25% at entry.
- Second 25% on favorable retest.
- Hold 50% in reserve for high-conviction opportunities.
4. Master the Tools—Then Look Beyond Them
Know basics like K-lines, MACD, RSI—but treat them as secondary tools.
His unique edge? Measuring momentum differentials.
Example: If BTC rises 0.1% at U.S. open but ETH jumps 0.5%, ETH shows strong relative strength—a sign of bullish momentum.
For execution, he prefers limit orders over market orders:
- Buys placed at key support during panic sells (“black swan catch”).
- Shorts at resistance levels—with strict stop-loss if broken.
The Mindset of a Winner: Slow Wealth Over Quick Gains
Despite earning millions, his lifestyle remains unchanged. No luxury cars or extravagant spending. He still packs leftovers and values cost efficiency.
Why? Because he understands that wealth preservation is harder than wealth creation.
He refuses to “signal” trades or run paid groups:
“Giving signals is like giving fish. I’d rather teach fishing.”
He believes true trading skill comes from personal development—not following gurus.
And his strongest warning?
Never trade with debt.
Debt creates psychological pressure that kills patience—the most vital trait in trading.
“Like Buffett said: Nobody wants to get rich slowly. But in trading? Slow wealth wins.”
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Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Can anyone replicate 'If I Don't Understand's success?
A: While exact results aren’t replicable due to timing and luck, his principles—research-driven decisions, risk management, and emotional discipline—are universally applicable.
Q: What’s his main edge in trading?
A: His ability to identify emerging consensus before it goes mainstream, combined with strict exit rules and capital preservation tactics.
Q: Does he use technical analysis?
A: Yes—but only as a secondary tool. He prioritizes narrative, liquidity flows, and market psychology over charts.
Q: How does he manage emotions after big wins or losses?
A: By maintaining a routine, avoiding lifestyle inflation, and focusing on process over outcomes.
Q: Is meme coin trading sustainable?
A: Only if approached with discipline—entering early, sizing appropriately, and exiting before hype peaks.
Q: Why does he avoid high-leverage contracts now?
A: Because large accounts face liquidity constraints and increased counterparty risk. He reserves leverage for clear, low-risk setups.
This story isn’t about get-rich-quick schemes—it’s about evolving from gambler to strategist, from emotional trader to calm observer. In a space full of noise, "If I Don't Understand" stands out not for what he says—but for how consistently he acts on his beliefs.
In the end, the market rewards not the loudest voice—but the one who listens longest.